| Coming Back To Life |
| October 20, 2017 09:10 |
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After a long wait, the benchmark PSX finally managed to register a breakout above the falling wedge pattern through a strong candle yesterday —concluding 1.98% higher at 41,558 level. Momentum, volume and breadth indicators are confirming the bullish reversal case. Expect the index recovering initially towards 42,916 level which can later stretch up to 45,041 level. Immediate supports reside around 41,312 and 40,791 levels.
According to our Elliot wave count, the index is at the terminus (5th of Wave C) of second intermediate correction where it has completed the 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Jan’16 low of 29,785 to Jan’17 high of 50,866) around 40,335 level, placed above the 610-day Fibonacci average (39,695). In the process, the market action has carved a falling wedge bullish reversal pattern. If our count is correct then completion of intermediate correction should resume the bullish trend through 44,008 — 47,241 levels to explore new highs above May’17 peak (53,127) to complete the fourth and the fifth intermediate waves of fifth Primary degree cycle. Preferred sectors include oil, fertilizers, cements (mean reversion), textiles, financials & utilities. Investors are advised to accumulate positions.
13-day Leaders: ARM, PSEL, PSMC, POL, PMPK, HASCOL, NCL, HCAR, AKBL & INDU
13-day Laggards: FML, PAKT, CSAP, CJPL, ASTL, SSGC, PIOC, BNWM, MLCF & OLPL |
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| Revisiting Previous Support |
| October 4, 2017 09:10 |
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After reacting from the downtrend line, the benchmark KSE is revisiting previous closing support at 40,958 level amid oversold daily stochastic readings. Immediate recovery through 41,597 and 42,161 levels (coinciding with the trend line resistance) on improving volume is required to bring back the bullish sentiment. On the downside, strong support exists between 40,531 and 40,335 levels in case if market slips below 40,958 level.
According to our Elliot wave count, the index is in final stages (Wave C) of second intermediate correction nearing the 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Jan’16 low of 29,785 to Jan’17 high of 50,866) around 40,335 level, placed above the 610-day Fibonacci average (39,567). In the process, the market action has carved a falling wedge formation which is normally viewed as a bullish reversal pattern. If our count is correct then completion of intermediate correction should resume the bullish trend through 44,008 — 47,241 levels to explore new highs above May’17 peak (53,127) to complete the fourth and the fifth intermediate waves of fifth Primary degree cycle. Preferred sectors include oil, fertilizers, textiles, financials & utilities. Investors are advised to accumulate positions between
13-day Leaders: NESTLE, PMPK, FATIMA, FFC, NCL, EFERT, KEL, POL, HUMNL & SEARL
13-day Laggards: KOHC, NBP, SNGP, CHCC, LUCK, POML, PGF, PAKT, BWCL & FFBL |
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| 21-Day Average On Test |
| September 28, 2017 09:27 |
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Reaction from the upper boundary of falling wedge pattern has induced minute correction towards the 21-day average (42,100). In the process, the daily stochastic reading have entered oversold readings. Immediate strength above 43,072 level is required to set bullish continuation towards 44,547 level. On the downside, a closing break below 42,100 will likely expose weakness towards 41,597 level.
According to our revised Elliot wave count, the index is in final stages (Wave C) of second intermediate corrective wave of fifth primary degree rise —marking 50,886 level as an irregular intermediate top. In the process, the market action has carved a falling wedge pattern near the 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Jan’16 low of 29,785 to Jan’17 high of 50,866) around 40,335 level. Below there, an important support trailing along the 610-day Fibonacci average resides around 39,505 level. If our count is correct then completion of intermediate correction should resume the bullish trend through 44,008 — 47,241 levels to explore new highs above May’17 peak (53,127) to complete the fourth and the fifth intermediate waves of fifth Primary cycle. Preferred sectors include oil, financials, utilities & textile. Investors are advised to accumulate positions on weakness up to the above mentioned retracement levels.
13-day Leaders: SCBPL, NESTLE, FFC, EFERT, OLPL, HBL, FATIMA, PMPK, JSCL & KEL
13-day Laggards: SHFA, KOHC, PAKT, IDYM, POML, CHCC, BOP, SNGP, PGF & BWCL |
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| Recovery Aiming For 43,072 and 44,547 Levels |
| September 14, 2017 08:56 |
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The momentum has started to recovery after bullish divergence confirmed on the 14-day. Expect the market striding towards 43,072 and 44,547 levels. A close below 41,597 level will negate this view.
According to our revised Elliot wave count, the index is in final stages (Wave C) of second intermediate corrective wave of fifth primary degree rise —marking 50,886 level as an irregular intermediate top. In the process, the market action has carved a falling wedge pattern near the 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Jan’16 low of 29,785 to Jan’17 high of 50,866) around 40,335 level. Below there, an important support trailing along the 610-day Fibonacci average resides around 39,263 level. If our count is correct then completion of intermediate correction should resume the bullish trend through 44,008 — 47,241 levels to explore new highs above May’17 peak (53,127) to complete the fourth and the fifth intermediate waves of fifth Primary cycle. Preferred sectors include oil, financials, utilities & textile. Investors are advised to accumulate positions on weakness up to the above mentioned retracement levels.
13-day Leaders: JSCL, NESTLE, ATRL, PMPK, OLPL, SCBPL, SSGC, SNGP, BNWM & MTL
13-day Laggards: IDYM, SRVI, JDWS, HBL, CJPL, SNBL, PIOC, CSAP, MARI & CPPL |
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| Revisiting The Elliot Wave Count |
| September 11, 2017 09:26 |
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The bullish divergence on 14-day RSI depict weakness in downwards trend with the index gyrating at the lower boundary of downwards sloping triangle formation (not confirmed). Instant recovery through 42,054 level on improving volume is required to activate a bullish reversal for 43,072 and 44,547 levels. On the downside, slippage below 40,842 level will set bearish continuation towards 40,335 — 40,138 levels.
According to our revised Elliot wave count, the index is falling in final stages (Wave C) of second intermediate wave of fifth primary degree rise —marking 50,886 level as an irregular intermediate top. In the process, the correction is nearing the 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Jan’16 low of 29,785 to Jan’17 high of 50,866) around 40,335 level. Below there, an important support trailing along the 610-day Fibonacci average resides around 39,263 level. In worse case (unlikely), the deeper 61.8% retracement resides around 37,845 level. If our count is correct then completion of intermediate correction should resume the bullish trend through 47,241 — 48,555 levels to explore new highs above May’17 peak (53,127) to complete the fourth and the fifth intermediate waves of fifth Primary cycle. Preferred sectors include oil, financials, utilities & textile. Investors are advised to accumulate positions on weakness up to the above mentioned retracement levels.
13-day Leaders: NESTLE, PMPK, ATRL, NATF, JSCL, POL, COLG, PPL, KTML & BAHL
13-day Laggards: SRVI, HBL, IDYM, MARI, SHEL, JDWS, CPPL, PICT, SNBL & CJPL |
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| Trend Remains Down Despite Diverging Oversold Momentum Readings |
| September 5, 2017 09:16 |
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The trend remains down contained within a downwards sloping triangle formation (not confirmed). Contracting volume, oversold and diverging daily momentum readings display weakness in downwards trend with no sign of reversal so far. Instant recovery through 41,820 level is required to reject any further downside towards 40,352 & 39,004 levels and allow bullish reversal towards 43,442 level. Punters can consider cautious buy positions if index manages to cross 41,820 level.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the index is falling in minor wave Y of fourth intermediate (corrective) wave of fifth primary degree rise. In the process, the correction has completed the deeper 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) around 41,701 level. Below there, the 61.8% retracement resides around 39,004 level, coinciding with the 610 day Fibonacci average a 39,197 level. If our count is correct then completion of intermediate correction should resume the bullish trend through 47,241 — 48,555 levels to challenge May’17 high (53,127) to complete the fifth of fifth Primary cycle. Investors are advised to accumulate positions on weakness up to the above mentioned retracement levels.
13-day Leaders: NATF, NESTLE, PMPK, COLG, HMB, SCBPL, PSEL, PAKT, DCR & PICT
13-day Laggards: SRVI, SHEL, EFOODS, PAEL, HBL, TRG, MARI, FEROZ, CSAP & JDWS |
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| Recovering Momentum |
| August 28, 2017 08:59 |
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The benchmark PSX momentum readings have started to recover after completing 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) around 41,701 level. A break above 43,173 level should allow a recovery towards 43,946 level to adjust the momentum readings. In case if market hits 44,052 level then possibility of deeper recovery towards 45,900 and 48,891 levels would be likely. On the down side, a relapse below 41,701 level will expose last low at 41,062 level to continue the bearish momentum towards 40,535 and 39,742 levels.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the index is falling in minor wave Y of fourth intermediate (corrective) wave of fifth primary degree rise. In the process, the correction has completed the deeper 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) around 41,701 level. Below there, the 61.8% retracement resides around 39,004 level, coinciding with the 610 day Fibonacci average at 39,137 level. If our count is correct then completion of intermediate correction should resume the bullish trend through 47,241 — 48,555 levels to challenge May’17 high (53,127) to complete the fifth of fifth Primary cycle. Investors are advised to accumulate positions on weakness up to the above mentioned retracement levels.
13-day Leaders: NATF, SPWL, NESTLE, CJPL, HMB, PMPK, PSO, PSEL, NCL & IGIIL
13-day Laggards: EFOODS, PAEL, SHEL, SRVI, MLCF, PSMC, ACPL, CSAP, DGKC & CPPL |
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| Seeking A Buy Trigger In Oversold Momentum |
| August 16, 2017 09:32 |
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The benchmark KSE slid 3.06% yesterday with the stochastic diving to grossly oversold readings. Immediate strength above 44,121 level will enable recovery towards 44,797 level. Such action would be seen as a bullish sign for further strength towards 45,891 and 47,661 levels. Any downside is seen cushioned by a support between 43,574 and 43,489 levels. We prefer to hold a bullish bias at current levels considering the current oversold readings, extraordinary bearish sentiment among the general participants and below average volume accompanying the decline. The risk reward scenario is highly favorable at current levels.
Traders may opt for building cautious buy positions between 44,121 and 43,574 levels, targeting 45,891 and 47,661 levels with risk defined below 43,027 level.
13-day Leaders: CJPL, MUREB, PICT, PSO, MARI, PAKT, TRG, PGF, NESTLE & CPPL
13-day Laggards: IDYM, PSMC, FML, MLCF, PAEL, EFOODS, PMPK, HBL, LUCK & ACPL |
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| Overbought Daily Momentum Facing Headwinds |
| August 7, 2017 09:42 |
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After forming a shooting star candlestick formation earlier last week, the index is finding difficulty in overcoming the resistance clustered b/w 47,086 and 47,661 levels —containing the generally followed 200-day average (47,296). Friday’s engulfing bear at overbought stochastic readings indicate exhaustion in upwards momentum. This can induce minute correction towards 46,393 level with immediate placement below 47,241 level. We maintain a neutral stance at present waiting for the daily momentum indicators to adjust overbought readings. Resistance between 47,086 and 47,661 levels is seen keeping the upside on check with any downside seen limited up to 44,797 and 44,121 levels. Traders are advised to accumulate at such weakness.
13-day Leaders: CJPL, TRG, CPPL, MARI, ISL, SNGP, GLAXO, PSO, FABL & POL
13-day Laggards: JDWS, IDYM, ARM, FML, LUCK, HBL, PSMC, SNBL, POML & BATA |
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| Inverted Hammer |
| August 1, 2017 09:19 |
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The index settled on a reactive note by way of an inverted hammer candlestick formation yesterday, indicating a halt in upwards momentum. We prefer to shift immediate outlook to a neutral stance awaiting fresh directional signals. With immediate upside seen checked by resistance clustered b/w 47,086 and 47,661 levels, the index can ease towards 44,797 and 44,121 levels to adjust the daily stochastic readings. Traders are advised to accumulate at such weakness.
13-day Leaders: NRL, ISL, MARI, NATF, TRG, SNGP, THALL, APL, PAKT & ATRL
13-day Laggards: POML, JDWS, ARM, JGICL, PSMC, BATA, IDYM, HUMNL, HBL & KOHC. |
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| Minute Consolidation |
| July 24, 2017 09:45 |
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Thursday's reaction from resistance around 45,729 — 45,891 levels has neutralized the bullish momentum. Immediate support between 44,397 and 44,121 levels is seen absorbing any selling pressure. The stochastic has started to point lower while the RSI remains flat giving mixed indications. Expect market entering a minute consolidation mode before looks set to challenge 45,729 — 45,891 levels for deeper recovery towards 46,885 (38% retracement) and 47,661 — 47,734 levels. Short-term stance remains mildly bullish subjected to closing sustainability above 44,121 level. As from wave count perspective, a break above 46,332 level would suggest an end to the A-B-C corrective sequence.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the 4th intermediate corrective wave of fifth primary degree rise completed the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) at 44,397 level. The critical resistance between 50,111 and 50,666 levels hold the key to new highs. Any further pressure below 44,397 level can possibly expose the 50% retracement around 41,701 level. If our count is correct then completion of intermediate correction should resume the bullish trend for new highs beyond May’17 high (53,127) to complete the fifth Primary cycle.
13-day Leaders: IBFL, PPL, SSGC, PAKT, NATF, APL, CJPL, SNBL, OGDC & EFUG
13-day Laggards: HCAR, BATA, PSMC, HUMNL, FCCL, POML, PICT, PIOC, FML & JGICL |
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| Awaiting A Trigger |
| July 17, 2017 09:19 |
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The tweezers support anchored at 43,050 level allowed a recovery on Friday where the index gained 1.26% (553 +ve) to settle at 44,337 level. We prefer to hold a neutral stance at present. Immediate strength towards 44,797 level is required to explore possibility of strength towards 45,729 — 45,891 and 47,661 — 47,734 levels. On the downside, a relapse below 43,027 level will resume the downwards trend exposing next possible support around 41,701 level, forming a confluence with a) Long-term trend line at 41,925 level developed by joining April 2008 high and Feb 2015 high on the monthly chart, b) 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of Jan 2009 to May 2017 rise at 41,717 level, c) 50% Fibonacci retracement of Feb 2017 to May 2017 rise at 41,701 level and d) 377-day Fibonacci simple moving average at 41,676 level (curving upwards). We find the index in the last leg (wave 5) of wave C to complete the A-B-C corrective sequence. The daily stochastic is recovering with the 14-day RSI forming a bullish divergence near oversold readings. A break above 46,308 level is required to suggest an end to the corrective sequence and activate a bullish reversal towards 48,555 level.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the 4th intermediate wave of fifth primary degree rise has exceeded the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) at 44,397 level. Further pressure can possibly expose the 50% retracement around 41,701 level. Below there, the deeper 61.8% Fibonacci retracement resides around 39,004 level. The critical resistance between 50,111 and 50,666 levels hold the key to new highs. If our count is correct then completion of intermediate correction should resume the bullish trend for new highs beyond May’17 high (53,127) to complete the fifth Primary cycle.
13-day Leaders: PMPK, SNBL, PPL, NATF, SSGC, PAKT, IBFL, IGIIL, MUREB & BOP
13-day Laggards: HCAR, BATA, PSMC, TRG, ISL, PICT, FML, FEROZ, GLAXO & NRL |
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| Pennant |
| July 10, 2017 09:18 |
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Chances of downside break are higher after Wednesday’s failed attempt to overcome the down trend line. Inability to clear the pennant resistance at 46,358 level can trigger bearish continuation below 44,328 level towards 43,552 and 41,817 levels. On the upside, a break above 46,358 level will call for bullish reversal towards 48,476 and 49,574 levels. Contracting volume on the downside and diverging momentum readings indicate that the correction is in the last leg down (wave 5 of wave C) of the A-B-C sequence.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the index correcting lower in 4th intermediate wave of the fifth primary degree rise has completed the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) at 44,397 level. In a case of further pressure, the 50% retracement comes around 41,701 level coinciding with the Fibonacci average (377-day) at 41,459 level. The critical resistance between 50,111 and 50,666 levels hold the key to new highs. If the count is correct then completion of intermediate correction will probably resume the bullish trend for new highs beyond May’17 high (53,127) to complete the fifth Primary cycle.
13-day Leaders: PMPK, IBFL, PAKT, NML, JLICL, MLCF, SNBL, ARM, SSGC & NPL
13-day Laggards: FEROZ, JDWS, TRG, NRL, HCAR, BATA, POML, ISL, INDU & PGF |
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| Pennant |
| July 7, 2017 09:09 |
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Chances of downside break are higher after Wednesday’s failed attempt to overcome the down trend line. Inability to clear the pennant resistance at 46,358 level can trigger bearish continuation below 44,328 level towards 43,552 and 41,817 levels. On the upside, a break above 46,358 level will call for bullish reversal towards 48,476 and 49,574 levels. Contracting volume on the downside and diverging momentum readings indicate that the correction is in the last leg down (wave 5 of wave C) of the A-B-C sequence.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the index correcting lower in 4th intermediate wave of the fifth primary degree rise has completed the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) at 44,397 level. In a case of further pressure, the 50% retracement comes around 41,701 level coinciding with the Fibonacci average (377-day) at 41,459 level. The critical resistance between 50,111 and 50,666 levels hold the key to new highs. If the count is correct then completion of intermediate correction will probably resume the bullish trend for new highs beyond May’17 high (53,127) to complete the fifth Primary cycle.
13-day Leaders: PMPK, PAKT, JLICL, NCPL, IBFL, NML, NESTLE, MLCF, MUREB & ARM
13-day Laggards: TRG, FEROZ, ISL, CJPL, JDWS, NRL, BATA, OLPL, POML & PGF |
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| Technical View |
| July 6, 2017 09:52 |
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By way of a highly reactive candle, the index failed to register a break above the falling trend line yesterday. Hold a neutral stance at present. Any immediate weakness towards 434,740 level will expose further pressure towards 43,740 and 42,123 levels. A closing break above 46,214 level is required to clear the way for bullish reversal towards 48,476 and 49,574 levels. The 14-day RSI recovering from oversold region needs a reading above 39.08 to confirm the bullish signal. On the other hand, the stochastic oscillator is still pointing lower so one should wait for the confirmation. Contracting volume on the downside and diverging momentum readings indicate that the correction is in the last leg down (wave 5 of wave C) of the A-B-C sequence.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the index correcting lower in 4th intermediate wave of the fifth primary degree rise has completed the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) at 44,397 level. In a case of further pressure, the 50% retracement comes around 41,701 level coinciding with the Fibonacci average (377-day) at 41,425 level. The critical resistance between 50,111 and 50,666 levels hold the key to new highs. If the count is correct then completion of intermediate correction will probably resume the bullish trend for new highs beyond May’17 high (53,127) to complete the fifth Primary cycle.
13-day Leaders: PMPK, NML, PAKT, JLICL, FATIMA, NPL, NCPL, MUREB, ARM & MLCF
13-day Laggards: TRG, FEROZ, ISL, JDWS, CJPL, BATA, POML, NRL, GHGL & ACPL |
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| Support Anchored? |
| July 5, 2017 09:17 |
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The KSE 100-Index gained 1.63% (728 points +ve) yesterday led by PPL, OGDC, ENGRO, HUBC, FFC, DGKC & PSO. Support around 44,397 level managed to halt the downwards trend as bulls took advantage of contracting volume and diverging momentum readings. The falling trend line is under challenge around 46,100 level where a closing break above the aforesaid resistance should clear the way for bullish reversal towards 48,476 and 49,574 levels. The 14-day RSI recovering from oversold region needs a reading above 39.08 to confirm the bullish signal. On the other hand, the stochastic oscillator is still pointing lower so one should wait for the confirmation.
On the flipside, a closing break below 44,397 level will expose the last low at 43,826 level where further selling can possibly expose the 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) at 41,701 level —coinciding with the Fibonacci average (377-day) at 41,392 level. Contracting volume on the downside and diverging momentum readings indicate that the correction is in the last leg down (wave 5 of wave C) of the A-B-C sequence.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the index correcting lower in 4th intermediate wave of the fifth primary degree rise has completed the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) at 44,397 level. In a case of further pressure, the 50% retracement comes around 41,701 level coinciding with the Fibonacci average (377-day) at 41,425 level. The critical resistance between 50,111 and 50,666 levels hold the key to new highs. If the count is correct then completion of intermediate correction will probably resume the bullish trend for new highs beyond May’17 high (53,127) to complete the fifth Primary cycle.
13-day Leaders: PMPK, JLICL, PAKT, NPL, ARM, NESTLE, FATIMA, NCPL, KTML & PSEL
13-day Laggards: CJPL, TRG, FEROZ, ISL, JDWS, GHGL, SEARL, ACPL, BATA & PGF |
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| Pressure Resumes Amid Diverging Readings |
| July 4, 2017 09:28 |
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The KSE 100-Index plummeted 4.08% (-ve 1899 points) yesterday led by HBL, UBL, LUCK, OGDC, MCB & ENGRO. Selling pressure was witnessed all across the board on mounting political concerns. Technically speak, the index has resumed the selling pressure where weakness below 44,397 level can induce pressure towards the last low at 43,826 level. A lower low will possibly expose the 50% retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) at 41,701 level coinciding with the Fibonacci average (377-day) at 41,392 level. A closing break above 45,729 level is required to mitigate such weakness. Falling volume and diverging momentum readings indicate that this could be the last leg down (wave 5 of wave C) of the corrective sequence.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the index is possibly correcting lower in 4th intermediate wave of the fifth primary degree rise. The correction has completed the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last intermediate run (Feb’16 to May’17) at 44,397 level. In case of further correction, the 50% retracement comes around 41,701 level coinciding with the Fibonacci average (377-day) at 41,285 level. The critical resistance between 50,111 and 50,666 levels hold the key to new highs. If the count is correct then completion of intermediate correction will resume the bullish trend for new highs beyond May’17 high (53,127) to complete the fifth Primary cycle.
13-day Leaders: PMPK, PAKT, ARM, JLICL, NESTLE, NPL, PSEL, NCPL, JGICL & DCR
13-day Laggards: TRG, FEROZ, CJPL, ISL, JDWS, SEARL, PKGS, CPPL, SNGP & ATRL |
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| Shaking Confidence |
| June 19, 2017 09:58 |
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The benchmark PSX registered a close below the tentative channel support line on Friday. This puts April’17 low of 46,048 level under threat with intervening 200-day average at 46,503 level. The short-term trend remains down amid grossly oversold readings on most of the constituents (i.e FFC, SHEL, OGDC, PPL, PKGS, PSO, PKGS & TRG). Weak buy signals were triggered in NCPL (Stochastic Oscillator) & MLCF (Bollinger / RSI) while thirty stocks continued to dig lower closings (see page 2 for the score sheet). Mean reversion should be the likely scenario in sessions ahead as the index nears the 233-day Fibonacci average at 45,522 level.
If immediate weakness persists to violate the April’17 low of 46,048 level then such action will confirm interruption of intermediate bull trend to possibly expose 44,713 level —inner support around 45,522 level seen allowing mean reversion towards 48,555 level. Any instant recovery through 47,531 level will seek relief towards 48,555 — 49,113 levels. Resistance fenced between 50,111 and 50,666 levels now holds the key to new highs.
After a bottom marked in 2009, the index has witnessed 10 intermediate degree falls with an average decline of 13.17 percent (maximum -18.3% / minimum -6.72%). Considering that the benchmark has fallen 12% only in the last 16 trading sessions, traders are advised to not to panic and wait for recovery due on grossly oversold readings.
According to our preferred Elliot wave count, the index is possibly correcting lower in the fourth intermediate degree wave of the fifth primary degree rise. In the process, the correction has exceeded the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (47,734) of last intermediate run from 30,275 to 53,127 levels (Feb’16 to May’17). In case of further correction, the 38.2% and 50% retracements are placed around 44,397 and 41,701 levels, respectively. If the count is correct then termination of ensuing intermediate correction will resume the bullish trend towards May’17 high (53,127) and 61,600 level to complete the fifth Primary cycle.
13-day Leaders: PMPK, PSEL, JLICL, SHFA, ARM, COLG, NESTLE, PAKT, JGICL, INDU
13-day Laggards: OGDC, PPL, IDYM, SHEL, BATA, SCBPL, PSO, FCCL, TRG & ENGRO |
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| On Track |
| May 8, 2017 09:40 |
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After completing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 46,048 to 50,304 rise at 48,678 level, the index has registered a strong recovery. We maintain a bullish stance on the index where strength above 50,300 level will explore new highs above 50,886 level —setting initial gaze towards 52,112 level. Immediate support around 49,418 level is seen absorbing any selling pressure. Continue to prefer Banks, Insurance, OMCs, Refineries & Utilities. Trading plays include MCB, TRG, FCCL, SHEL, PSO, TPL, ATRL, TREET, HASCOL, HTL, AICL, SNGP, SSGC, STCL, SEPL, KEL & LOTCHEM.
13-day Leaders: GHGL, FABL, PSMC, PAEL, INDU, FML, THALL, MTL, BAFL & HCAR
13-day Laggards: PSEL, FEROZ, NESTLE, SEARL, POL, IBFL, BATA, IDYM, ARM & BNWM |
| --------------------------------------------- |
| The Coast Is Clear |
| April 21, 2017 09:17 |
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Recent market action (volume, trend and momentum) suggests an end to the 12-week minor correction / consolidation phase. The KSE 100-index seems all set for initial stride towards 50,300 and 53,000 levels with support clustered between 48,187 and 47,778 levels seen absorbing any selling pressure. We continue to prefer Banks, Insurance, OMCs, Refineries & Utilities. Preferred plays include MCB, TRG, FCCL, SHEL, PSO, TPL, TREET, HASCOL, HTL, AICL, SNGP, SSGC, STCL, SEPL, KEL & LOTCHEM.
13-day Leaders: HASCOL, SSGC, PSMC, PAEL, PMPK, PPL, POML, FEROZ, PIOC & GHGL
13-day Laggards: ISL, EFUG, BNWM, CJPL, NCL, FATIMA, FML, PAKT, GLAXO & MCB |
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